Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Middlesbrough Under-21s
57.49% ( 0.15)	18.98% ( 0.08)	23.54% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 71.78% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.98% (

-0.62)

24.02% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.38% (

-0.83)

43.63% (

0.84)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.32% (

-0.16)

8.68% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.1% (

-0.39)

29.91% (

0.4)

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.61% (

-0.51)

21.4% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.62% (

-0.79)

54.39% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Under-21s 57.49%

Middlesbrough Under-21s 23.54%

Draw 18.98%

Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Middlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.97% Total : 57.49%	1-1 @ 7% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.76% Total : 18.98%	1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.54%