Premier League 2 - Div 1
Dec 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Eppleton Colliery Football Ground

Sunderland U21s
1 - 2
Arsenal U21s

Rusyn (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Edwards (49', 83')
Henry-Francis (45+1')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Sunderland Under-21s and Arsenal Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Saints U21s 1-2 Sunderland U21s
Friday, November 3 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Arsenal Under-21s in this match.

Result
Sunderland Under-21sDrawArsenal Under-21s
29.55% (0.209 0.21)20.73% (0.129 0.13)49.72% (-0.337 -0.34)
Both teams to score 71.04% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.75% (-0.502 -0.5)27.25% (0.502 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.2% (-0.635 -0.63)47.8% (0.63500000000001 0.64)
Sunderland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-0.145 -0.14)19.55% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.54% (-0.237 -0.24)51.46% (0.238 0.24)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.3% (-0.274 -0.27)11.7% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.2% (-0.59 -0.59)36.8% (0.59 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland Under-21s 29.55%
    Arsenal Under-21s 49.72%
    Draw 20.73%
Sunderland Under-21sDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.54% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.73% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.05% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.55%
1-1 @ 8.01% (0.123 0.12)
2-2 @ 7.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.73% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.29% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.73%
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 5.02% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.91% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.3% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 2.69% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.02% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-5 @ 1.16% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 49.72%