Premier League 2 - Div 1
Feb 16, 2024 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Colney Training Centre
  • Nathan Butler-Oyedeji 2' goal
  • Osman Kamara 60' goal
  • Ismail Oulad M'Hand 67' goal
  • Alexei Rojas 72' yellowcard
  • Jimi Gower 73' goal
  • Michal Rosiak 76' yellowcard
  • Omari Benjamin 90' yellowcard
  • Harrison Dudziak 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Pearce 25'
  • goal Cameron Bragg 34'
  • yellowcard Luke Pearce 56'
  • yellowcard Zach Awe 90'+5'

Arsenal Under-21s vs Southampton Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 9, 2024 7.00pm
Arsenal U21s 1 - 1 Leeds U21s
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ethan Nwaneri

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Jan 29, 2024 7.00pm
Leicester U21s 1 - 2 Saints U21s
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Luke Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 56.94%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.89%) and 3-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Arsenal Under-21s 56.94% (-0.66)
Draw 18.95% (+0.08)
Southampton Under-21s 24.1% (+0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

72.61% (+0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 76.74% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 23.26% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 57.39% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 42.6% (-0.38)
Over 4.5 37.86% (+0.38)
Under 4.5 62.14% (-0.38)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 91.43% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 8.57% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 70.38% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 29.62% (+0.14)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 79.42% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 20.58% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 46.89% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 53.11% (-0.85)

Score analysis

Arsenal Under-21s 56.94%
Draw 18.95%
Southampton Under-21s 24.1%
Arsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 5.45% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.13)
1-0 @ 4.33% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 4.23% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 3.35% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.09)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.04)
4-3 @ 1.76% (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.11%
Total : 56.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.85% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.65% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2.87% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 1.76% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 18.95%
Southampton Under-21s
1-2 @ 5.41% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.51% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.85% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 2.79% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.2% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.39% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.16% (+0.04)
3-4 @ 1.14% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.13% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.1%