Premier League 2 - Div 1
Feb 16, 2024 at 7pm UK
Colney Training Centre

Arsenal U21s
4 - 2
Saints U21s

Butler-Oyedeji (2'), Kamara (60'), Oulad M'Hand (67'), Gower (73')
Rojas (72'), Rosiak (76'), Benjamin (90'), Dudziak (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pearce (25'), Bragg (34')
Pearce (56'), Awe (90+5')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Arsenal Under-21s and Southampton Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 1-1 Leeds U21s
Friday, February 9 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester U21s 1-2 Saints U21s
Monday, January 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 56.94%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.89%) and 3-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
56.94% (-0.652 -0.65)18.95% (0.077999999999999 0.08)24.1% (0.571 0.57)
Both teams to score 72.61% (0.44800000000001 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.74% (0.27800000000001 0.28)23.26% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.39% (0.375 0.38)42.6% (-0.377 -0.38)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.43% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)8.57% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.38% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)29.62% (0.137 0.14)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.53800000000001 0.54)20.58% (-0.54 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (0.845 0.84)53.11% (-0.847 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Under-21s 56.94%
    Southampton Under-21s 24.1%
    Draw 18.95%
Arsenal Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 5.45% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-0 @ 4.33% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 4.23% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
4-2 @ 3.35% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.76% (0.034 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 5.11%
Total : 56.94%
1-1 @ 6.85% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 2.87% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 1.76% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 18.95%
1-2 @ 5.41% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.077 0.08)
0-1 @ 2.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.034 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.14% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.1%