Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.15%) and 3-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Leeds United Under-21s
50.14% ( -0.09)	20.01% ( 0.01)	29.83% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 74.07% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.51% (

-0.02)

23.48% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.09% (

-0.02)

42.9% (

0.02)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.74% (

-0.03)

10.25% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.39% (

-0.07)

33.6% (

0.06)

Leeds United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53% (

0.03)

17.46% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.05% (

0.05)

47.94% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Under-21s 50.15%

Leeds United Under-21s 29.83%

Draw 20.01%

Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Leeds United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 50.15%	1-1 @ 7.12% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( 0) 3-3 @ 3.12% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.01%	1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 29.83%