Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.15%) and 3-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.