Premier League 2 - Div 1
Jan 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Elland Road

Leeds U21s
1 - 3
Sunderland U21s

Thomas (48')
Debayo (74')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Jones (16'), Rusyn (34', 39')
Triantis (14')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Leeds United Under-21s and Sunderland Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Spurs U21s 1-0 Leeds U21s
Monday, December 18 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Sunderland Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Forest U21s 0-5 Sunderland U21s
Friday, January 12 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 38.77% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.38%) and 1-3 (4.95%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Leeds United Under-21sDrawSunderland Under-21s
38.77% (0.372 0.37)19.58% (0.043999999999997 0.04)41.65% (-0.423 -0.42)
Both teams to score 79.31% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.8% (-0.185 -0.19)18.2% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.52% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)35.48% (0.266 0.27)
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)11.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.91% (0.073999999999998 0.07)36.09% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Sunderland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.48% (-0.2 -0.2)10.51% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.8% (-0.443 -0.44)34.19% (0.437 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United Under-21s 38.77%
    Sunderland Under-21s 41.65%
    Draw 19.58%
Leeds United Under-21sDrawSunderland Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 5.2% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 2.83% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.82% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 2.6% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.032 0.03)
4-3 @ 2.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.05% (0.04 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.23% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.02)
5-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 38.77%
2-2 @ 7.17% (0.014 0.01)
1-1 @ 5.85% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 3.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.2% (0.018 0.02)
4-4 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.58%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 5.38% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 3.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.045 -0.05)
0-1 @ 2.69% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-4 @ 2.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-5 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 41.65%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Leeds U21s
3-1
Sunderland U21s
Fernandez (17', 87'), Perkins (36')
Lihadji (21')
Oct 10, 2022 7pm
Sunderland U21s
0-1
Leeds U21s
Gnonto (53')