Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 4, 2024 at 7pm UK
Bet365 Stadium

Stoke U21s
1 - 3
Palace U21s

Smith (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Imray (1'), Brooks (61' og.), Mathurin (69')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Stoke City Under-21s and Crystal Palace Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 2-2 Stoke U21s
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Crystal Palace Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Leicester U21s 1-1 Palace U21s
Monday, February 19 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-21s win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.93%) and 2-3 (5.4%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Stoke City Under-21sDrawCrystal Palace Under-21s
31.53% (0.164 0.16)20.03% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)48.43% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 75.13% (0.262 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.45% (0.29499999999999 0.29)22.54% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.35% (0.40199999999999 0.4)41.64% (-0.405 -0.41)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (0.223 0.22)16.18% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.35% (0.407 0.41)45.65% (-0.41099999999999 -0.41)
Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.63% (0.073000000000008 0.07)10.36% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.14% (0.17200000000001 0.17)33.86% (-0.173 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City Under-21s 31.53%
    Crystal Palace Under-21s 48.43%
    Draw 20.03%
Stoke City Under-21sDrawCrystal Palace Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.34% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.018 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.05% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.49% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 31.53%
2-2 @ 7.15% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-1 @ 6.92% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 3.28% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 1.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.03%
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 5.4% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 3.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 3.06% (0.021 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.86% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
2-5 @ 1.39% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 4.86%
Total : 48.43%

rhs 2.0


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