Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 11, 2024 at 7pm UK
Selhurst Park

Palace U21s
4 - 2
Aston Villa U21s

Plange (5', 45+1', 62'), Kiernan (7')
Plange (41'), Reid (66')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Wilson (54'), Kellyman (80')
Moore (44'), Munroe (59')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Crystal Palace Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke U21s 1-3 Palace U21s
Monday, March 4 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool U21s 0-2 Aston Villa U21s
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-21s win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 39.61% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.03%) and 3-1 (4.9%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
39.99% (-0.129 -0.13)20.39% (0.016999999999999 0.02)39.61% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 76.06% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.8% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)22.19% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.84% (-0.113 -0.11)41.15% (0.108 0.11)
Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.27% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)12.72% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.04% (-0.16 -0.16)38.95% (0.157 0.16)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.14% (0.00099999999999056 0)12.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.78% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.21% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace Under-21s 39.99%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 39.61%
    Draw 20.39%
Crystal Palace Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.13%
3-2 @ 5.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 3.37% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.77% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 39.99%
2-2 @ 7.32% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-1 @ 6.92% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 3.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.39%
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.49% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.014 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.05%
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 39.61%