Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.