EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
4 - 3
Stevenage

Kamara (26'), Hernandez (35', 60'), Sainz (48')
Long (25'), Forsyth (75')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Goode (28'), Appere (45+1'), Hills (88+2' og.)
White (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Norwich City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Stevenage
44.04% ( -0.01)	24.8% ( 0)	31.16% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.97% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.96% (

-0.02)

46.04% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.66% (

-0.02)

68.34% (

0.02)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04% (

-0.01)

20.96% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.28% (

-0.02)

53.72% (

0.02)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

-0.01)

27.92% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46% (

-0.01)

63.54% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 44.04%

Stevenage 31.16%

Draw 24.79%

Norwich City	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.04%	1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.16%