EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Norwich4 - 3Stevenage
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
We said: Norwich City 2-0 Stevenage
Following their shock defeat on the weekend, Norwich will be desperate to put League One Stevenage to the sword in the cup at Carrow Road on Tuesday. The Boro have a history of recording giant killings in recent times, but we feel that the third-tier visitors will fall to defeat in East Anglia with little fuss. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Stevenage |
44.04% ( -0.01) | 24.8% ( 0) | 31.16% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.97% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
