Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	St Pauli
37.17% ( -0.43)	24.63% ( 0.18)	38.21% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 59.12% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.1% (

-0.86)

43.9% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.71% (

-0.85)

66.29% (

0.84)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.62% (

-0.61)

23.38% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.65% (

-0.9)

57.35% (

0.9)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16% (

-0.26)

22.84% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.44% (

-0.38)

56.56% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 37.17%

St Pauli 38.21%

Draw 24.62%

Norwich City	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.17%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.62%	1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.21%