2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
3 - 1
Osnabruck

Afolayan (7', 58'), Hartel (68')
Smith (15'), Dzwigala (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kehl (90+1' pen.)
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and VfL Osnabruck.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last Game: Hamburger SV 1-0 St Pauli
Friday, May 3 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

VfL Osnabruck

All competitions
Last Game: Osnabruck 0-4 Schalke
Tuesday, May 7 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 77.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 9.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a VfL Osnabruck win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawVfL Osnabruck
77.07% (-0.208 -0.21)13.89% (0.109 0.11)9.04% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.51% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.59% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)29.41% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.52% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)50.48% (0.24 0.24)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)6.21% (0.0801 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.53% (-0.21799999999999 -0.22)23.47% (0.223 0.22)
VfL Osnabruck Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.11% (0.07 0.07)41.89% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.66% (0.060000000000002 0.06)78.34% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 77.07%
    VfL Osnabruck 9.04%
    Draw 13.89%
St PauliDrawVfL Osnabruck
2-0 @ 10.04% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.3% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 6.47% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 5.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
5-0 @ 3.59% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 3.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.66% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 77.07%
1-1 @ 6.29% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.6% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 13.89%
1-2 @ 2.74% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.26% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.99% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 9.04%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Osnabruck
1-1
St Pauli
Makridis (82')
Kleinhansl (45'), Wiemann (79'), Wulff (90')
Wiemann (90+3')
Irvine (6')
Mar 21, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 26
Osnabruck
1-2
St Pauli
Heider (79')
Ajdini (70')
Burgstaller (51' pen.), Marmoush (65')
Ziereis (38')
Nov 27, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
St Pauli
0-1
Osnabruck

Lawrence (89')
Blacha (86')
Henning (43'), Trapp (56'), Beermann (65'), Amenyido (66')
Mar 1, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
St Pauli
3-1
Osnabruck
Veerman (23'), Sobota (35'), Diamantakos (48')
Ohlsson (60'), Sobota (66')
Ajdini (76')
Taffertshofer (25'), Ajdini (74'), Trapp (84')
Sep 22, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Osnabruck
1-1
St Pauli
Wolze (12')
Taffertshofer (77'), Amenyido (83')
Miyaichi (22')
Miyaichi (16'), Diarra (67'), Skiri Oestigaard (82')
Diarra (84')