2.Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Oladapo Afolayan 7' goal
  • Eric Smith 15' yellowcard
  • Oladapo Afolayan 58' goal
  • Marcel Hartel 68' goal
  • Adam Dzwigala 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lars Kehl 90'+1'

St Pauli vs VfL Osnabruck - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2024 5.30pm
Hamburger SV 1 - 0 St Pauli
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Marcel Hartel

VfL Osnabruck

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2024 5.30pm
Osnabruck 0 - 4 Schalke
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Erik Engelhardt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 77.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 9.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a VfL Osnabruck win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result

St Pauli 77.07% (-0.21)
Draw 13.89% (+0.11)
VfL Osnabruck 9.04% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.51% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.59% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 29.41% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 49.52% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 50.48% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 30.3% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 69.7% (+0.23)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 93.79% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 6.21% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 76.53% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 23.47% (+0.23)

VfL Osnabruck Goals

Over 0.5 58.11% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 41.89% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 21.66% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 78.34% (-0.06)

Score analysis

St Pauli 77.07%
Draw 13.89%
VfL Osnabruck 9.04%
St Pauli
2-0 @ 10.04% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 9.3% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 8.1% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.23% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 6.47% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 5.63% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 3.59% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.52% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.13% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.66% (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.45% (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 77.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.29% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 2.6% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 13.89%
VfL Osnabruck
1-2 @ 2.74% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.26% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 9.04%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Mirco Aghetoni
  • Florian Kleinhansl 45' yellowcard
  • Niklas Wiemann 79' yellowcard
  • Charalambos Makridis 82' goal
  • Jannes Wulff 90' yellowcard
  • Niklas Wiemann 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Jackson Irvine 6'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2021 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bashkim Ajdini 70' yellowcard
  • Marc Heider 79' goal
  • yellowcard Philipp Ziereis 38'
  • goal Guido Burgstaller 51'
  • goal Omar Marmoush 65'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Nov 27, 2020 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Lawrence 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Henning 43'
  • yellowcard Maurice Trapp 56'
  • yellowcard Timo Beermann 65'
  • yellowcard Etienne Amenyido 66'
  • goal David Blacha 86'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2020 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Henk Veerman 23' goal
  • Waldemar Sobota 35' goal
  • Dimitrios Diamantakos 48' goal
  • Sebastian Ohlsson 60' yellowcard
  • Waldemar Sobota 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ulrich Taffertshofer 25'
  • yellowcard Bashkim Ajdini 74'
  • goal Bashkim Ajdini 76'
  • yellowcard Maurice Trapp 84'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Sep 22, 2019 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Bremer Brücke (Osnabrück)
  • Kevin Wolze 12' goal
  • Ulrich Taffertshofer 77' yellowcard
  • Etienne Amenyido 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryo Miyaichi 16'
  • goal Ryo Miyaichi 22'
  • yellowcard Youba Diarra 67'
  • yellowcard Leo Skiri Oestigaard 82'
  • redcard Youba Diarra 84'