2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
3 - 4
Elversberg

Eggestein (39', 39'), Hartel (69'), Irvine (90+2')
Eggestein (66'), Ritzka (78'), Smith (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Neubauer (51'), Boyamba (70'), Wanner (81'), Vandermersch (83')
Feil (29'), Wanner (86'), Irvine (89')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Elversberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last Game: Karlsruher 2-1 St Pauli
Saturday, April 6 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Elversberg

All competitions
Last Game: Elversberg 0-0 Magdeburg
Saturday, April 6 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 11.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Elversberg win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawElversberg
71.6% (-0.542 -0.54)16.94% (0.263 0.26)11.46% (0.279 0.28)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.75% (-0.486 -0.49)37.25% (0.487 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.54% (-0.526 -0.53)59.46% (0.526 0.53)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.83% (-0.246 -0.25)9.17% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.93% (-0.595 -0.59)31.08% (0.594 0.59)
Elversberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.1% (0.157 0.16)42.91% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.79% (0.133 0.13)79.21% (-0.133 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 71.6%
    Elversberg 11.46%
    Draw 16.94%
St PauliDrawElversberg
2-0 @ 11.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.115 0.11)
3-0 @ 8.94% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.34% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.55% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-1 @ 2.16% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.025 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.02% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 71.6%
1-1 @ 7.95% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.02% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.092 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 16.94%
1-2 @ 3.37% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.33% (0.092 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.41% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 11.46%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Elversberg
0-2
St Pauli

Vandermersch (28'), Wanner (50')
Eggestein (16'), Hartel (31')
Irvine (53')
Sep 13, 2020 2.30pm
First Round
Elversberg
4-2
St Pauli
Schnellbacher (16', 67'), Dragon (26'), Fellhauer (48')
Neubauer (66'), Conrad (82')
Knoll (7'), Benatelli (78')
Ohlsson (47'), Dittgen (57'), Tashchi (59')