Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 61.84%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 19.16% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 3-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (5.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	Elversberg
61.84% ( -3.59)	19% ( 1.41)	19.16% ( 2.18)

Both teams to score 64.48% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.63% (

-3.15)

30.37% (

3.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.36% (

-3.87)

51.64% (

3.86)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.42% (

-1.66)

9.57% (

1.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.96% (

-4.04)

32.03% (

4.04)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

0.15)

28.69% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48% (

0.19)

64.52% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 61.84%

Elversberg 19.16%

Draw 19%

Hamburger SV	Draw	Elversberg
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.65) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.56) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.47) 4-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.34) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.45) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.37) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.28) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.94% Total : 61.84%	1-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.46) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.4% Total : 19%	1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.55) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.59) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.24) Other @ 4.02% Total : 19.16%