Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elversberg would win this match.