Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.

Result
Elversberg	Draw	Nuremberg
36.69% ( -0.07)	23.39% ( -0.03)	39.92% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 63.74% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.11% (

0.12)

37.89% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.85% (

0.13)

60.14% (

-0.13)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08% (

0.02)

20.92% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.35% (

0.03)

53.64% (

-0.03)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

0.09)

19.4% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.79% (

0.16)

51.21% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Elversberg 36.69%

Nuremberg 39.92%

Draw 23.39%

Elversberg	Draw	Nuremberg
2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.69%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 39.92%