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DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 5, 2023 at 5pm UK
Fritz-Walter-Stadion
Nuremberg logo
Kaiserslautern
2 - 0
Nuremberg
Tachie (75'), Ache (78')
Soldo (18'), Zimmer (31'), Tomiak (90'), Tomiak (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Duman (11'), Wekesser (80')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Kaiserslautern and Nuremberg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Magdeburg 4-1 Kaiserslautern
Saturday, December 2 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Nuremberg 0-5 Dusseldorf
Saturday, December 2 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: Kaiserslautern 2-1 Nuremberg

This is a really difficult match to call, as there is not an awful lot between the two teams in terms of quality. We are expecting a tight game on Tuesday but are backing Kaiserslautern to advance to the quarter-finals of the competition courtesy of a 2-1 success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 38.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.

Result
KaiserslauternDrawNuremberg
39.04% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 22.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 38.1% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Both teams to score 65.93% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.9% (0.070000000000007 0.07)35.09% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.9% (0.079000000000001 0.08)57.09% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Kaiserslautern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.015000000000001 0.02)18.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13% (0.027999999999999 0.03)49.87% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Nuremberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.98% (0.048999999999992 0.05)19.01% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.42% (0.085999999999999 0.09)50.57% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Kaiserslautern 39.04%
    Nuremberg 38.1%
    Draw 22.86%
KaiserslauternDrawNuremberg
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 39.04%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 5.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.53% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 38.1%

How you voted: Kaiserslautern vs Nuremberg

Kaiserslautern
70.4%
Draw
25.9%
Nuremberg
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Kaiserslautern
3-1
Nuremberg
Tachie (19'), Puchacz (26'), Ache (30')
Zimmer (90+8')
Schleimer (36')
Goller (52'), Horn (90+8')
Mathenia (88')
May 7, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 31
Nuremberg
3-3
Kaiserslautern
Daehli (4'), Castrop (34'), Duah (49')
Boyd (40'), Niehues (88'), Klement (90+5')
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
Oct 30, 2019 5.30pm
Second Round
Kaiserslautern
2-2
Nuremberg
Kaiserslautern win 6-5 on penalties
Thiele (8' pen., 74' pen.)
Jager (15'), Frey (89')
Hack (87'), Valentini (105'), Dovedan (120')
Dec 16, 2017 12pm
Kaiserslautern
1-1
Nuremberg
Bredlow (61' og.)
Mwene (55'), Fechner (79')
Ishak (25')
Lowen (90')
rhs 2.0
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