Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 38.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.