Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.