DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 31, 2023 at 5pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Schalke

St Pauli
2 - 1
Schalke

Hartel (57' pen.), Eggestein (102')
Amenyido (87'), Irvine (101'), Hartel (113'), Hurzeler (114'), Saliakas (120+2')
FT
(aet)
Kaminski (16')
Schallenberg (45+3'), Matriciani (101'), Kabadayi (111')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal Second Round clash between St Pauli and Schalke 04.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: St Pauli 2-1 Karlsruher
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Schalke 04

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Schalke 3-2 Hannover
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
St PauliDrawSchalke 04
59.26% (-0.121 -0.12)21.22% (0.050000000000001 0.05)19.51% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (-0.12 -0.12)40.58% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (-0.126 -0.13)62.96% (0.129 0.13)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)13.37% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.73% (-0.152 -0.15)40.27% (0.155 0.16)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.14% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 59.26%
    Schalke 04 19.51%
    Draw 21.22%
St PauliDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.25% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 59.26%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.3%
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.22%
1-2 @ 5.27% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.91% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 19.51%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Schalke

St Pauli
82.8%
Draw
10.3%
Schalke 04
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
St Pauli
3-1
Schalke
Hartel (21' pen., 57'), Boukhalfa (90+2')
Metcalfe (33')
Polter (29')
Brunner (45+2'), Kaminski (45+1'), Schallenberg (77'), Polter (82')
May 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Schalke
3-2
St Pauli
Terodde (47' pen., 71'), Zalazar (78')
Latza (41'), Vindheim (51'), Idrizi (90+6')
Matanovic (9', 17')
Aremu (15'), Medic (46'), Kyereh (65'), Matanovic (90')
Beifus (81'), Matanovic (90+5')
Dec 4, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
St Pauli
2-1
Schalke
Burgstaller (20', 39')
Kyereh (2')
Zalazar (75')
Thiaw (26'), Zalazar (90+3')