Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.