2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 at 12pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Karlsruher

St Pauli
2 - 1
Karlsruher

Eggestein (80'), Treu (90+2')
Smith (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Matanovic (43')
Schleusener (23'), Stindl (40')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Karlsruher SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last Game: SC Paderborn 2-2 St Pauli
Saturday, October 21 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Karlsruher SC

All competitions
Last Game: Karlsruher 3-0 Schalke
Sunday, October 22 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Karlsruher SC win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
St PauliDrawKarlsruher SC
56.89% (0.072000000000003 0.07)22.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)20.92% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.8% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57% (0.135 0.13)42.99% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.6% (0.135 0.13)65.39% (-0.139 -0.14)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (0.068999999999988 0.07)14.9% (-0.071 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.72% (0.13399999999999 0.13)43.27% (-0.137 -0.14)
Karlsruher SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58% (0.042000000000002 0.04)34.42% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87% (0.047999999999998 0.05)71.12% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 56.89%
    Karlsruher SC 20.92%
    Draw 22.18%
St PauliDrawKarlsruher SC
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 20.92%

Head to Head
May 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
St Pauli
1-1
Karlsruher
Paqarada (58')
Mets (44'), Zander (77'), Ritzka (90')
Schleusener (45+2')
Cueto (39'), Nebel (73'), Kobald (78')
Nov 12, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Karlsruher
4-4
St Pauli
Schleusener (12', 31'), Wanitzek (16'), Kaufmann (50')
Eggestein (24', 35'), Smith (43'), Daschner (61')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 25
St Pauli
3-1
Karlsruher
Kyereh (14', 25'), Makienok (35')
Zander (52'), Irvine (64'), Kyereh (65'), Aremu (83')
Hofmann (66')
Kobald (42'), Wanitzek (45')
Sep 25, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 8
Karlsruher
1-3
St Pauli
Schleusener (79')
Eichner (43'), Hofmann (53'), Bormuth (55'), Kyoung-rok (55'), Thiede (85'), Kobald (88'), Batmaz (90+3')
Gersbeck (13' og.), Burgstaller (45' pen.), Kyereh (58')
Irvine (71'), Hartel (72')
Mar 6, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 24
Karlsruher
0-0
St Pauli
Gondorf (27')
Ohlsson (66')