Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Elversberg
47.8% ( 1.82)	23.55% ( -0.05)	28.65% ( -1.77)

Both teams to score 59.76% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.3% (

-0.79)

41.7% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.9% (

-0.8)

64.1% (

0.8)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.34% (

0.4)

17.65% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.73% (

0.7)

48.27% (

-0.7)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.57% (

-1.56)

27.43% (

1.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.09% (

-2.07)

62.91% (

2.06)

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 47.8%

Elversberg 28.65%

Draw 23.55%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Elversberg
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.82% Total : 47.8%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.65%