2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde

Elversberg
0 - 2
St Pauli


Vandermersch (28'), Wanner (50')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Eggestein (16'), Hartel (31')
Irvine (53')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Elversberg and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elversberg

All competitions
Last Game: Magdeburg 1-2 Elversberg
Sunday, October 29 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

St Pauli

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 2-1 Schalke
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 59.92%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 20.34% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.66%) and 1-3 (7.16%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (5.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
ElversbergDrawSt Pauli
20.34% (-0.285 -0.29)19.74% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)59.92% (0.328 0.33)
Both teams to score 63.77% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.84% (-0.224 -0.22)32.16% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.24% (-0.261 -0.26)53.75% (0.268 0.27)
Elversberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.383 -0.38)28.69% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (-0.481 -0.48)64.51% (0.486 0.49)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)10.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.68% (0.034999999999997 0.03)34.32% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Elversberg 20.34%
    St Pauli 59.92%
    Draw 19.74%
ElversbergDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 5.31% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-0 @ 3.79% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 20.34%
1-1 @ 8.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.03% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 19.74%
1-2 @ 9.56% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.66% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 7.16% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.74% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.47% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 4.02% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.22% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.81% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.45% (0.022 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 59.92%

How you voted: Elversberg vs St Pauli

Elversberg
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
St Pauli
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2020 2.30pm
First Round
Elversberg
4-2
St Pauli
Schnellbacher (16', 67'), Dragon (26'), Fellhauer (48')
Neubauer (66'), Conrad (82')
Knoll (7'), Benatelli (78')
Ohlsson (47'), Dittgen (57'), Tashchi (59')