Nuremberg logo
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 16, 2023 at 12pm UK
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Hamburg logo

Nuremberg
0 - 2
Hamburger SV


Brown (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Glatzel (80'), Dompe (90+7')
Meffert (42'), Jatta (44'), Mikelbrencis (64'), Benes (90+7'), Dompe (90+8')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Nuremberg and Hamburger SV.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elversberg 0-1 Nuremberg
Sunday, December 10 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.6%) and 1-3 (5.51%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
NurembergDrawHamburger SV
33.1% (0.966 0.97)21.96% (0.118 0.12)44.94% (-1.081 -1.08)
Both teams to score 68.32% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.45% (-0.176 -0.18)31.55% (0.177 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.97% (-0.208 -0.21)53.03% (0.21 0.21)
Nuremberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.41499999999999 0.41)19.8% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (0.668 0.67)51.87% (-0.666 -0.67)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.19% (-0.443 -0.44)14.81% (0.446 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.91% (-0.853 -0.85)43.09% (0.854 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Nuremberg 33.1%
    Hamburger SV 44.94%
    Draw 21.96%
NurembergDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.143 0.14)
1-0 @ 4.75% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 3.85% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.045 0.04)
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.1%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 7.01% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.93% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.41% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.51% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 4.47% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.41% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-4 @ 2.63% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-4 @ 2.13% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-4 @ 1.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 44.94%

How you voted: Nuremberg vs Hamburger SV

Nuremberg
16.7%
Draw
66.7%
Hamburger SV
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 23
Hamburger SV
3-0
Nuremberg
Dompe (19'), Reis (52'), Konigsdorffer (90+5')
Aug 27, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Nuremberg
0-2
Hamburger SV

Fofana (89')
Vuskovic (37'), Glatzel (90+2')
Glatzel (19'), Reis (73')
Mar 5, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
Nuremberg
2-1
Hamburger SV
Kopke (15'), Handwerker (88')
Kopke (33'), Mathenia (65'), Tempelmann (72')
Reis (25')
Meffert (35'), Jatta (66'), Muheim (67'), Reis (73'), Kaufmann (90+2')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Nuremberg
1-1
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV win 4-2 on penalties
Duman (59')
Dovedan (14')
David (45')
Glatzel (39'), Muheim (51'), Schonlau (77'), Alidou (119')
Sep 26, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 8
Hamburger SV
2-2
Nuremberg
Glatzel (34', 80')
Vuskovic (21'), Gyamerah (58'), Kittel (90+2')
Valentini (22' pen.), Tempelmann (46')
Dovedan (6'), Valentini (26')