Hamburg logo
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 12pm UK
Volksparkstadion
Paderborn logo

Hamburger SV
1 - 2
SC Paderborn

Benes (10')
Benes (86'), Heyer (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bilbija (20'), Ansah (61')
Heuer (85')
Bilbija (69')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and SC Paderborn.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 61.16%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 19.84% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.35%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawSC Paderborn
61.16% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)18.99% (0.0010000000000012 0)19.84% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 65.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.8% (0.0039999999999907 0)29.19% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)50.21% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)9.39% (-9.9999999999767E-5 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.39% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
SC Paderborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.19% (0.010000000000005 0.01)62.8% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 61.16%
    SC Paderborn 19.84%
    Draw 18.99%
Hamburger SVDrawSC Paderborn
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 4.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.06%
5-0 @ 1.59%
5-2 @ 1.33%
4-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 61.16%
1-1 @ 7.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 18.99%
1-2 @ 5.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 19.84%

Head to Head
May 5, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Hamburger SV
2-2
SC Paderborn
Glatzel (39'), Kittel (49')
Justvan (43'), Muslija (73' pen.)
Oct 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
SC Paderborn
2-3
Hamburger SV
Leipertz (3', 51')
Glatzel (23'), Dompe (45+1'), Benes (69')
Apr 2, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Hamburger SV
1-2
SC Paderborn
Chakvetadze (90+3')
Srbeny (1', 61')
Srbeny (38')
Oct 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
SC Paderborn
1-2
Hamburger SV
Platte (38')
Yalcin (17'), Michel (31')
Heyer (5'), Doyle (90+4')
Alidou (15'), Leibold (36'), David (45+1'), Muheim (64'), Heyer (75')
Jan 30, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 19
Hamburger SV
3-1
SC Paderborn
Heyer (8'), Kittel (22', 53')
Michel (41')
Okoroji (60'), Ingelsson (67')