Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.