2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 12pm UK
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde

Elversberg
0 - 2
Holstein Kiel


Durholtz (46')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Machino (39'), Sander (49')
Rothe (30')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Elversberg and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elversberg

All competitions
Last Game: Greuther Furth 1-4 Elversberg
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-0 Karlsruher
Saturday, March 9 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
ElversbergDrawHolstein Kiel
34.27% (0.152 0.15)22.79% (0.021000000000001 0.02)42.94% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 65.55% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.66% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)35.34% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.64% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)57.36% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Elversberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (0.058000000000007 0.06)20.98% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.26% (0.088000000000001 0.09)53.74% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)17.06% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.78% (-0.154 -0.15)47.22% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Elversberg 34.27%
    Holstein Kiel 42.94%
    Draw 22.79%
ElversbergDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.27% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 34.27%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 42.94%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Holstein Kiel
1-1
Elversberg
Becker (44')
Porath (71')
Schnellbacher (70')
Stock (90+1')