Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 60.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Hertha Berlin
60.27% ( -0.18)	20.81% ( 0.12)	18.92% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 57.16% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.39% (

-0.47)

39.61% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.04% (

-0.49)

61.96% (

0.49)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.23% (

-0.2)

12.76% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.96% (

-0.41)

39.04% (

0.41)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52% (

-0.21)

34.48% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81% (

-0.22)

71.19% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 60.27%

Hertha Berlin 18.92%

Draw 20.81%

St Pauli	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 60.27%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.81%	1-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 18.92%