2.Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Manolis Saliakas 16' goal
  • Manolis Saliakas 42' yellowcard
  • Marcel Hartel 44' goal
  • yellowcard Jonjoe Kenny 29'

St Pauli vs Hertha Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2024 5.30pm
Schalke 3 - 1 St Pauli
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Marcel Hartel

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2024 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Haris Tabakovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 60.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result

St Pauli 60.27% (-0.19)
Draw 20.81% (+0.13)
Hertha Berlin 18.92% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.16% (-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.39% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 39.61% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 38.04% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 61.96% (+0.49)
Over 4.5 20.59% (-0.39)
Under 4.5 79.41% (+0.39)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 87.23% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 12.76% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 60.96% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 39.04% (+0.41)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 65.52% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 34.48% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 28.81% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 71.19% (+0.23)

Score analysis

St Pauli 60.27%
Draw 20.81%
Hertha Berlin 18.92%
St Pauli
2-1 @ 9.93% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.32% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 9.06% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.29% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 60.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.65% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.4% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.81%
Hertha Berlin
1-2 @ 5.14% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.69% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.5% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 18.92%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
  • Gustav Orsoe Christensen 56' yellowcard
  • Bence Dardai 79' yellowcard
  • Derry Scherhant 83' goal
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 0'
  • goal Johannes Eggestein 25'
  • goal Marcel Hartel 74'