Hertha Berlin logo
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Jan 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin

Hertha Berlin
1 - 3
Kaiserslautern

Reese (90+1')
Tabakovic (74'), Barkok (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Elvedi (5'), Tachie (38'), Kaloc (69')
Tachie (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Hertha Berlin and Kaiserslautern, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wiesbaden 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, January 27 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Kaiserslautern

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 4-1 Schalke
Friday, January 26 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawKaiserslautern
34.57% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)23.58% (-0.136 -0.14)41.85% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 62.61% (0.5 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79% (0.659 0.66)39.21% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46% (0.685 0.68)61.54% (-0.679 -0.68)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (0.28400000000001 0.28)22.62% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (0.41800000000001 0.42)56.23% (-0.411 -0.41)
Kaiserslautern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (0.357 0.36)19.1% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.28% (0.582 0.58)50.72% (-0.575 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 34.57%
    Kaiserslautern 41.85%
    Draw 23.57%
Hertha BerlinDrawKaiserslautern
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.42% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 34.57%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.54% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.86% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.61% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 41.85%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Kaiserslautern

Hertha Berlin
66.7%
Draw
20.4%
Kaiserslautern
13.0%
54
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 16
Kaiserslautern
1-2
Hertha Berlin
Toure (16')
Kraus (85')
Aremu (59')
Niederlechner (49'), Kempf (81')
Dardai (43'), Dardai (43'), Ernst (90'), Bouchalakis (90+1')