Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Kaiserslautern
49.64% ( -0.06)	23.27% ( 0.01)	27.09% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 59.49% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.5% (

0.02)

41.5% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.1% (

0.02)

63.9% (

-0.02)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.12% (

-0.01)

16.88% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.09% (

-0.02)

46.91% (

0.03)

Kaiserslautern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57% (

0.05)

28.43% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82% (

0.06)

64.18% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 49.64%

Kaiserslautern 27.09%

Draw 23.26%

St Pauli	Draw	Kaiserslautern
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 4.13% Total : 49.64%	1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.26%	1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 27.09%