Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.