League One

League One | Gameweek 5

Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Keillor-Dunn (11'), Phillips (65')
Earl (57'), Roberts (90+6'), O'Keeffe (90+2'), Connell (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sotiriou (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Bristol Rovers
40.94% ( -0.43)	25.39% ( -0.21)	33.66% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 55.88% (

0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.13% (

1.07)

47.87% (

-1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.95% (

0.97)

70.05% (

-0.97)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.79% (

0.25)

23.21% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.89% (

0.37)

57.11% (

-0.37)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

0.91)

27.23% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.35% (

1.17)

62.65% (

-1.18)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 40.94%

Bristol Rovers 33.66%

Draw 25.38%

Barnsley	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.94%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 3% Total : 33.66%