League One Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Davis Keillor-Dunn 11' goal
  • Josh Earl 57' yellowcard
  • Adam Phillips 65' goal
  • Corey O'Keeffe 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Luca Connell 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Marc Roberts 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ruel Sotiriou 37'

Barnsley vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
Crawley 0 - 3 Barnsley
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Davis Keillor-Dunn

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 2 - 0 Cambridge
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Chris Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result

Barnsley 40.94% (-0.43)
Draw 25.39% (-0.21)
Bristol Rovers 33.66% (+0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.88% (+0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.13% (+1.07)
Under 2.5 47.87% (-1.07)
Over 3.5 29.95% (+0.98)
Under 3.5 70.05% (-0.98)
Over 4.5 14.63% (+0.67)
Under 4.5 85.36% (-0.67)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 76.79% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 23.21% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 42.89% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 57.11% (-0.38)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 72.77% (+0.92)
Under 0.5 27.23% (-0.92)
Over 1.5 37.35% (+1.18)
Under 1.5 62.65% (-1.18)

Score analysis

Barnsley 40.94%
Draw 25.38%
Bristol Rovers 33.66%
Barnsley
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.35)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.20)
3-1 @ 4.27% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-96.69)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.29)
2-2 @ 5.7% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
Bristol Rovers
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 7.81% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 5.35% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.39% (+0.14)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2.32% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.1% (+0.08)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.66%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • John McAtee 21' yellowcard
  • Devante Cole 43' goal
  • Mael Durand de Gevigney 67' yellowcard
  • Corey O'Keeffe 73' goal
  • Herbie Kane 79' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Martin 68'
  • yellowcard Antony Evans 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Scott Sinclair 81' goal
  • goal Nicky Cadden 7'
  • yellowcard Barry Cotter 23'
  • yellowcard Jon Russell 63'
  • yellowcard Herbie Kane 82'
League One Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
League One Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Devante Cole 3' goal
  • Jordan Williams 13' goal
  • Josh Benson 56' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Finley 35'
  • yellowcard Paul Coutts 35'
  • yellowcard James Connolly 58'
League One Gameweek 46
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium (Bristol, Gloucestershire)
  • Alex Rodman 71' goal
  • Ed Upson 77' yellowcard
  • Alex Rodman 92' goal
  • goal Kieffer Moore 12'
  • yellowcard Liam Lindsay 37'
  • redcard Liam Lindsay 44'
  • yellowcard Alex Mowatt 56'
League One Gameweek 16
Oct 27, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Oakwell Stadium (Barnsley, South Yorkshire)
  • Alex Mowatt 11' goal
  • George Moncur 39' yellowcard
  • Alex Mowatt 45' yellowcard
  • Adam Davies 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Kelly 79'