Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.