EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

McGuinness (68'), Colwill (90+1')
McGuinness (32')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Anthony (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cardiff City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Sunderland
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
37.46% ( -7.03)	24.74% ( 0.27)	37.81% ( 6.76)

Both teams to score 58.73% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.59% (

0.17)

44.42% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.21% (

0.17)

66.79% (

-0.17)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54% (

-3.29)

23.46% (

3.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.53% (

-5.02)

57.47% (

5.02)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73% (

4.01)

23.27% (

-4.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.8% (

5.51)

57.2% (

-5.51)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 37.46%

Bristol Rovers 37.81%

Draw 24.74%

Cardiff City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.79) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.89) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -1.31) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.85) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.99) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.49) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.5) Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.46%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.74%	1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.98) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.81) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 1.16) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.87) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.39) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.81) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.45) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.38) Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.81%