Cardiff City logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Reading logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Reading

Robinson (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Robinson (3'), Azeez (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Cardiff City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Hertha Berlin
Thursday, July 25 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Reading

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Reading 1-0 QPR
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cardiff City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cardiff City.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawReading
44.96% (-0.62 -0.62)24.23% (-0.052 -0.05)30.8% (0.671 0.67)
Both teams to score 58.73% (0.561 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.35% (0.57299999999999 0.57)43.65% (-0.574 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.96% (0.559 0.56)66.04% (-0.56 -0.56)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.42% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)19.58% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.5% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)51.5% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.724 0.72)26.97% (-0.726 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68% (0.942 0.94)62.31% (-0.943 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 44.96%
    Reading 30.8%
    Draw 24.23%
Cardiff CityDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 44.96%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.8%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Reading

Cardiff City
60.0%
Draw
26.7%
Reading
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Cardiff
1-0
Reading
Sawyers (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Reading
2-1
Cardiff
Long (27' pen.), Ince (63')
Hoilett (20'), Abretti (86'), Yiadom (90')
O'Dowda (4')
Nelson (25'), Collins (65'), Harris (90')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Reading
1-2
Cardiff
Joao (7')
Doughty (59'), Vaulks (85')
Ng (70')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Cardiff
0-1
Reading

Pack (32'), Ralls (37'), Collins (84'), McGuinness (90+3')
Hoilett (38')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 42
Reading
1-1
Cardiff
Meite (90+3')
Moore (87' pen.)
Nelson (46'), Pack (50'), Brown (78')
> Match Report