Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.