Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Hertha Berlin
37% ( 0.11)	22.81% ( 0.01)	40.19% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 66.05% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.09% (

-0.04)

34.91% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.11% (

-0.05)

56.89% (

0.04)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56% (

0.03)

19.44% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.72% (

0.05)

51.28% (

-0.06)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.99% (

-0.07)

18.01% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.11% (

-0.12)

48.89% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 37%

Hertha Berlin 40.19%

Draw 22.81%

Cardiff City	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 37%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.81%	1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 40.19%