Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 56.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.