Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	Cardiff City
62.39% ( -2.86)	19.87% ( 0.75)	17.74% ( 2.11)

Both teams to score 58.23% (

2.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.85% (

0.46)

37.14% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.65% (

0.5)

59.34% (

-0.5)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.58% (

-0.61)

11.42% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.8% (

-1.35)

36.2% (

1.34)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73% (

2.76)

34.26% (

-2.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.03% (

2.85)

70.96% (

-2.85)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 62.39%

Cardiff City 17.74%

Draw 19.87%

Hamburger SV	Draw	Cardiff City
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.69) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.68) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.47) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.25) Other @ 4.39% Total : 62.39%	1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.87%	1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.48) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.81% Total : 17.74%