Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 17.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.