Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	Nantes
59.67% ( 0.19)	21.37% ( -0.05)	18.96% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 55.29% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.89% (

-0.01)

42.1% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.48% (

-0.02)

64.51% (

0.02)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.26% (

0.05)

13.74% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.99% (

0.1)

41% (

-0.1)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.09% (

-0.16)

35.9% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.32% (

-0.16)

72.68% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 59.67%

Nantes 18.96%

Draw 21.36%

Hamburger SV	Draw	Nantes
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 59.67%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.36%	1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 18.96%