Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 2.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 2
FT Volksparkstadion
  • Moritz Heyer 72' goal
  • Dennis Hadzikadunic 82' goal
  • F. Balde 86' goal
  • Bakery Jatta 90'+9' goal
  • goal Adel Mahamoud 10'
  • goal Nicolas Pallois 26'

Hamburger SV vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 13, 2024 4.00pm
Lubeck 2 - 5 Hamburger SV

Nantes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 12, 2024 5.00pm
Caen 0 - 1 Nantes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result

Hamburger SV 59.67% (+0.19)
Draw 21.37% (-0.05)
Nantes 18.96% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.29% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.89% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 42.1% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 35.48% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 64.51% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 18.63% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.37% (+0.02)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 86.26% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 13.74% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 58.99% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 41% (-0.11)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 64.09% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 35.9% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 27.32% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 72.68% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Hamburger SV 59.67%
Draw 21.36%
Nantes 18.96%
Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 9.95% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.79% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.72% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.59% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.43% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.27% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.19% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 59.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.36%
Nantes
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.05% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 18.96%