Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Cardiff City
36.04% ( 0.32)	26.29% ( 0.16)	37.66% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 53.22% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.55% (

-0.68)

51.45% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.74% (

-0.6)

73.26% (

0.6)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.49% (

-0.13)

27.51% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.98% (

-0.17)

63.01% (

0.17)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.42% (

-0.59)

26.58% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.2% (

-0.78)

61.79% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 36.04%

Cardiff City 37.66%

Draw 26.29%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.04%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.66%