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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 44.81% ( | 25.97% ( | 29.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% ( | 51.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% ( | 73.65% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( | 23.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.07% ( | 56.93% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.75% ( | 32.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.26% ( | 68.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 8% ( 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.8% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.22% |