Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 5, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
1 - 1
AVS

Jason (30')
Rodrigues (7'), Simao (59'), Fontan (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Assuncao (77' pen.)
Silva (45+2'), Fonseca (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 4-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

AVS

All competitions

Last Game: AVS 0-0 Farense
Monday, September 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for AVS had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	AVS
51.28% ( -0.27)	22.88% ( 0.05)	25.84% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 59.67% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.26% (

-0.02)

40.73% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.88% (

-0.03)

63.12% (

0.02)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99% (

-0.11)

16.01% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.66% (

-0.19)

45.33% (

0.19)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

0.16)

28.95% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.16% (

0.2)

64.84% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Arouca 51.28%

AVS 25.84%

Draw 22.87%

Arouca	Draw	AVS
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 51.28%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.38% Total : 25.84%