Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Arouca

Farense
0 - 1
Arouca


Falcao (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Trezza (45+1')
Fukui (69'), Rodrigues (77'), Jason (90+3'), Esgaio (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Farense
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arouca in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawArouca
25.85% (0.649 0.65)24.77% (0.239 0.24)49.38% (-0.889 -0.89)
Both teams to score 53.37% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.473 -0.47)49.06% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (-0.429 -0.43)71.14% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (0.288 0.29)33.37% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (0.314 0.31)69.99% (-0.315 -0.31)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (-0.548 -0.55)19.89% (0.547 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (-0.891 -0.89)52.02% (0.889 0.89)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 25.85%
    Arouca 49.37%
    Draw 24.76%
SC FarenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.195 0.19)
2-1 @ 6.46% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 4% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.36% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.85%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 10.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.11% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.66% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 49.37%

How you voted: Farense vs Arouca

SC Farense
44.4%
Draw
55.6%
Arouca
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Arouca
2-1
Farense
Esgaio (45+1'), Cristo (68')
De Arruabarrena (55'), Trezza (78'), Moreira (90+1'), Galovic (90+4')
Duarte (88')
Caseres (49'), Mota (50'), Duarte (82')
Caseres (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Farense
2-0
Arouca
Oliveira (31' pen.), Duarte (38' pen.)
Falcao (25')

Simao (71')
> Preview