Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Campo Estrela
Estoril

Lusitano Evora
0 - 0
Estoril


Alexandre Miranda Andrade (86')
FT
(aet)

Amaral (33'), Pina (90+2'), Sierra (117'), Boma (120')
Lusitano Evora win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Lusitano Evora 1911 and Estoril Praia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lusitano Evora 1911

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Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-0 Lusitano Evora
Tuesday, July 30 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Farense 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lusitano Evora 1911 had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.93%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Lusitano Evora 1911 win it was 1-0 (6.34%).

Result
Lusitano Evora 1911DrawEstoril Praia
16.96% (0.02 0.02)23.39% (0.032999999999998 0.03)59.64% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.31% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.47% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)53.52% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (-0.073 -0.07)75.04% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Lusitano Evora 1911 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.03% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)44.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.09% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)80.91% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)17.65% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.73% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)48.26% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Lusitano Evora 1911 16.96%
    Estoril Praia 59.63%
    Draw 23.39%
Lusitano Evora 1911DrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.017 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.54% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.17%
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 16.96%
1-1 @ 11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.39%
0-1 @ 13.76% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 11.93%
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 6.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 59.63%