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Sporting Lisbon
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Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Estoril

Farense
1 - 0
Estoril

Silva (90+5')
Bermejo (22'), Neto (42'), Jose Marreco Gouveia (61'), Silva (77'), Jorge (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Boma (9'), Michel (77'), Orellana (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AVS 0-0 Farense
Monday, September 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
SC FarenseDrawEstoril Praia
29.5% (0.189 0.19)26.4% (-0.352 -0.35)44.1% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 50.94% (1.163 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.51% (1.45 1.45)53.49% (-1.45 -1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.99% (1.212 1.21)75.01% (-1.211 -1.21)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (0.902 0.9)32.87% (-0.90000000000001 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (0.988 0.99)69.44% (-0.98700000000001 -0.99)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (0.72499999999999 0.72)24.12% (-0.723 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (1.019 1.02)58.42% (-1.017 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 29.5%
    Estoril Praia 44.1%
    Draw 26.39%
SC FarenseDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.287 -0.29)
2-1 @ 6.98% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.59% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.5%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.93% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 11.27% (-0.41 -0.41)
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.02% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.127 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.076 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.1%

How you voted: Farense vs Estoril

SC Farense
29.1%
Draw
29.1%
Estoril Praia
41.8%
55
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 32
Farense
3-2
Estoril
Silva (36'), Oliveira (45'), Duarte (65')
Falcao (43'), Isidoro (82'), Rossi (88')
Garcia (45+2'), Gomes (52')
Dec 30, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Estoril
4-0
Farense
Marques (4', 47'), Araujo (45+5'), Parra (78')
Carne (22'), Holsgrove (30')

Falcao (24'), Pastor (54')
rhs 2.0


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