Benfica
Taca da Liga | Semi-Finals
Jan 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga

Benfica
3 - 0
Braga

di Maria (27', 37'), Fernandez (28')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ferreira (62'), Fernandes (83')
Xavier Zamith Oliveira Noro (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Braga had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Braga win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawBraga
63.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.29% (0.144 0.14)16.42% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.83% (-0.851 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.44% (-0.956 -0.96)41.56% (0.952 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.04% (-0.974 -0.97)63.96% (0.97 0.97)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.5% (-0.291 -0.29)12.5% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.5% (-0.60299999999999 -0.6)38.5% (0.6 0.6)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.52% (-0.768 -0.77)38.48% (0.764 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.77% (-0.74 -0.74)75.23% (0.736 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 63.28%
    Braga 16.42%
    Draw 20.29%
BenficaDrawBraga
2-0 @ 10.4% (0.22 0.22)
1-0 @ 10% (0.314 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.21% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.58% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 63.28%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.204 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.29%
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.102 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 16.42%

How you voted: Benfica vs Braga

Benfica
78.0%
Draw
12.2%
Braga
9.8%
82
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 6pm
Gameweek 17
Benfica
1-2
Braga
Cabral (77')
di Maria (52'), Cabral (79'), Barreiro (88'), Beste (89')
Navarro (17'), Bambu (40')
Gorby (36'), Magalhaes (54'), Ferreira (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 31
Benfica
3-1
Braga
Leonardo (71', 90+5'), Neres (85')
Leonardo (90+5'), Carvalho (90+6')
Horta (28')
Moutinho (79'), Ndour (82'), Kokcu (82'), Carvalho (90+8')
Gomez (89')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2024 8.45pm
Round of 16
Benfica
3-2
Braga
Silva (42'), Cabral (44'), Aursnes (70')
Morato (40'), di Maria (60')
Zalazar (7', 48')
Gomez (58'), Oliveira (72')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 14
Braga
0-1
Benfica

Saatci (26'), Fonte (76'), Carvalho (90+4')
Tengstedt (3')
Morato (2'), Trubin (89'), Otamendi (90+5')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 31
Benfica
1-0
Braga
Silva (67')
> Preview