Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Braga had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Braga win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.