Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Dec 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
0 - 0
Bologna

Pavlidis (2')
Pavlidis (24'), Luis (48'), Bah (59'), Kokcu (63'), Otamendi (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fabbian (53'), Casale (62'), Ferguson (71'), Italiano (77'), Freuler (89'), Beukema (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Bologna

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, December 7 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 11.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Bologna
69.81% ( 2.53)	18.47% ( -0.92)	11.72% ( -1.6)

Both teams to score 47.25% (

-1.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.26% (

0.2)

43.74% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.87% (

0.19)

66.13% (

-0.19)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.65% (

0.74)

11.35% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.95% (

1.59)

36.05% (

-1.59)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.3% (

-2.49)

46.7% (

2.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.74% (

-1.97)

82.26% (

1.96)

Score Analysis

Benfica 69.8%

Bologna 11.72%

Draw 18.47%

Benfica	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.52) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.28) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.55% Total : 69.8%	1-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.34) Other @ 0.74% Total : 18.47%	0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.72%