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Champions League

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Champions League | League Stage
Sep 18, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Shakhtar Donetsk

Bologna
0 - 0
Shakhtar


Posch (3'), Castro (58')
FT

Bondar (12'), Augusto Tobias da Silva (70'), Stepanenko (84'), Gomes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bologna and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Last Game: Como 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, September 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Last Game: Shakhtar 0-1 Livyi Bereh
Saturday, February 22 at 12am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BolognaDrawShakhtar Donetsk
40.18% (-0.25 -0.25)27.15% (2.818 2.82)32.67% (-2.562 -2.56)
Both teams to score 49.94% (-10.045 -10.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63% (-12.675 -12.68)55.37% (12.68 12.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.43% (-11.478 -11.48)76.57% (11.484 11.48)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (-5.792 -5.79)27.01% (5.799 5.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-8.256 -8.26)62.36% (8.262 8.26)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (-7.716 -7.72)31.58% (7.722 7.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01% (-9.926 -9.93)67.99% (9.932 9.93)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 40.17%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 32.67%
    Draw 27.14%
BolognaDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 11.16% (3.312 3.31)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-0 @ 7.31% (1.224 1.22)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.831 -0.83)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-1.111 -1.11)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.544 -0.54)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.17%
1-1 @ 12.86% (1.62 1.62)
0-0 @ 8.53% (3.468 3.47)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-1.393 -1.39)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.83% (2.578 2.58)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.641 -0.64)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.47 0.47)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.999 -1)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-1.119 -1.12)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.67%

How you voted: Bologna vs Shakhtar

Bologna
41.7%
Draw
26.9%
Shakhtar Donetsk
31.4%
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