Champions League
Sep 18, 2024 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Stefan Posch 3' yellowcard
  • Santiago Castro 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Valeriy Bondar 12'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Augusto Tobias da Silva 70'
  • yellowcard Taras Stepanenko 84'
  • yellowcard Marlon Gomes 88'

Bologna vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Bologna 40.18% (-0.25)
Draw 27.15% (+2.82)
Shakhtar Donetsk 32.67% (-2.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.94% (-10.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.63% (-12.68)
Under 2.5 55.37% (+12.68)
Over 3.5 23.43% (-11.48)
Under 3.5 76.57% (+11.49)
Over 4.5 10.38% (-7.82)
Under 4.5 89.62% (+7.83)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 72.99% (-5.80)
Under 0.5 27.01% (+5.80)
Over 1.5 37.64% (-8.26)
Under 1.5 62.36% (+8.27)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 68.42% (-7.72)
Under 0.5 31.58% (+7.73)
Over 1.5 32.01% (-9.93)
Under 1.5 67.99% (+9.94)

Score analysis

Bologna 40.17%
Draw 27.14%
Shakhtar Donetsk 32.67%
Bologna
1-0 @ 11.16% (+3.32)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 7.31% (+1.23)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.84)
3-0 @ 3.19% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-1.12)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.55)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.18)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% (+1.62)
0-0 @ 8.53% (+3.47)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-1.40)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.14%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1 @ 9.83% (+2.58)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.65)
0-2 @ 5.67% (+0.47)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-1.00)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.31)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-1.12)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.67%