Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Como had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Bologna |
| 32.09% ( | 28.02% ( | 39.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.27% ( | 58.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.74% ( | 79.26% ( |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% ( | 33.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( | 70.38% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( | 28.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( | 64.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 2-2 @ 4.45% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 39.89% |