Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Como had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.