Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.