Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Bologna |
| 31.11% ( | 27.96% ( | 40.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.23% ( | 58.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.71% ( | 79.29% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( | 34.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% ( | 71.16% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.8% ( | 28.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.1% ( | 63.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 3-2 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 31.11% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0-0 @ 9.72% ( 2-2 @ 4.42% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 12.29% ( 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 40.92% |