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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Genoa logo

Roma
1 - 0
Genoa

Lukaku (79')
Paredes (72'), Lukaku (82')
Paredes (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Roma
Sunday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-2 Genoa

Roma's revival under Daniele De Rossi - who recently extended his short-term contract by three years - has started to falter, so plucky Genoa could leave the capital with a point. The Grifone never know when they are beaten, and they possess sufficient firepower to test their hosts' increasingly leaky defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.

Result
RomaDrawGenoa
55.91% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11) 23.76% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 20.32% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.87% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (-0.256 -0.26)50.44% (0.255 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (-0.227 -0.23)72.37% (0.226 0.23)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.133 -0.13)17.88% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34% (-0.228 -0.23)48.66% (0.227 0.23)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (-0.111 -0.11)39.27% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (-0.104 -0.1)75.98% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Roma 55.9%
    Genoa 20.32%
    Draw 23.76%
RomaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 12.08% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.4% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 55.9%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 20.32%

How you voted: Roma vs Genoa

Roma
73.5%
Draw
22.1%
Genoa
4.4%
68
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Genoa
4-1
Roma
Gudmundsson (5'), Retegui (45'), Thorsby (74'), Messias (81')
Strootman (26'), Sabelli (37'), Retegui (65'), Bani (75')
Cristante (22')
Mancini (42'), Paredes (75'), Aouar (89')
Jan 12, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Roma
1-0
Genoa
Dybala (64')
Feb 5, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 24
Roma
0-0
Genoa
Mancini (35'), Zaniolo (90+1'), Abraham (90+4')
Zaniolo (90+5')
Vanheusden (25'), Vasquez (79')
Skiri Oestigaard (69')
Nov 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Genoa
0-2
Roma

Cambiaso (32'), Badelj (54'), Sabelli (78')
Afena-Gyan (82', 90+4')
Veretout (40'), Mourinho (49'), Afena-Gyan (89')
Mar 7, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 26
Roma
1-0
Genoa
Mancini (24')
Mancini (65')

Masiello (42'), Destro (45+1'), Strootman (64'), Criscito (84')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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