Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Como had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.