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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
1 - 1
Como

Ioannou (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cutrone (44')
Da Cunha (71'), Verdi (90+1'), Iovine (90+1')
Iovine (90+7')
Sampdoria win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coppa Italia clash between Sampdoria and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Sampdoria
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Como

All competitions
Last Game: Como 0-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 3 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Como had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
SampdoriaDrawComo
42.3% (0.082000000000001 0.08)26.58% (-0.1 -0.1)31.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.15% (0.315 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (0.4 0.4)53.58% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91% (0.336 0.34)75.09% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (0.223 0.22)25.06% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (0.308 0.31)59.74% (-0.31 -0.31)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (0.21599999999999 0.22)31.75% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (0.247 0.25)68.18% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 42.3%
    Como 31.11%
    Draw 26.58%
SampdoriaDrawComo
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.3%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2% (0.0039999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.11%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Como

Sampdoria
36.4%
Draw
22.7%
Como
40.9%
22
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Sampdoria
1-1
Como
Borini (66')
Depaoli (24'), Sala (53'), Braunoder (90+1'), Esposito (90+1')
Cutrone (82')
Borini (61'), Espeto (69')
Sep 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Como
1-0
Sampdoria
Ioannou (54')
Da Cunha (36'), Cutrone (78')

Borini (2'), Murru (52'), Stojanovic (58'), Pedrola (81'), Barreca (87')
Aug 24, 2014 7.45pm
Round Three
Sampdoria
4-1
Como
Eder (7', 56', 73'), Gabbiadini (13')
Regini (54')
Le Noci (33' pen.)
Fietta (45')